Employment and Social Developments in Europe (ESDE) 2023

Table A.2
Future labour shortages are strongest in high-skilled non-manual and elementary occupations

Future occupational shortages to 2035, ranging from 1 (weak or no shortage) to 4 (strong shortage)

 

ISCO

Occupation

Expansion

Replacement

Imbalance

Future shortage indicator

 

11

Chief executives, senior officials and legislators

2

4

2

2.7

 

12

Administrative and commercial managers

3

2

2

2.3

 

13

Production and specialised services managers

3

3

2

2.7

 

14

Hospitality, retail and other services managers

2

3

2

2.3

 

21

Science and engineering professionals

4

2

1

2.3

 

22

Health professionals

3

4

1

2.7

 

23

Teaching professionals

2

3

1

2.0

 

24

Business and administration professionals

4

2

1

2.3

High-skilled nonmanual occupations

25

ICT professionals

4

1

1

2.0

 

26

Legal, social and cultural professionals

3

3

2

2.7

 

31

Science and engineering associate professionals

2

2

2

2.0

 

32

Health associate professionals

3

2

2

2.3

 

33

Business and administration associate professionals

3

3

2

2.7

 

34

Legal, social, cultural and related associate professionals

4

3

2

3.0

 

35

Information and communications technicians

3

1

2

2.0

 

41

General and keyboard clerks

2

3

2

2.3

 

42

Customer services clerks

3

3

2

2.7

 

43

Numerical and material recording clerks

2

1

2

1.7

Skilled nonmanual occupations

44

Other clerical support workers

1

1

2

1.3

 

51

Personal services workers

3

2

3

2.7

 

52

Sales workers

2

2

3

2.3

 

53

Personal care workers

3

3

2

2.7

 

54

Protective services workers

2

2

2

2.0

 

61

Market-oriented skilled agricultural workers

1

3

3

2.0

 

62

Market-oriented skilled forestry, fishery and hunting workers

1

2

3

2.0

 

63

Subsistence farmers, fishers, hunters and gatherers

1

1

4

2.0

 

71

Building and related trades workers (excluding electricians)

2

2

3

2.3

Skilled manual occupations

72

Metal, machinery and related trades workers

2

2

3

2.3

 

73

Handicraft and printing workers

2

2

3

2.3

 

74

Electrical and electronic trades workers

2

2

2

2.0

 

75

Food processing, woodworking, garment and other craft and related trades workers

2

2

3

2.3

 

81

Stationary plant and machine operators

2

2

3

2.3

 

82

Assemblers

3

2

3

2.7

 

83

Drivers and mobile plant operators

2

3

3

2.7

Source: DG EMPL calculations, based on Cedefop Skills Forecast 2023.