Table A.2
Future labour shortages are strongest in high-skilled
non-manual and elementary occupations
Future occupational shortages to 2035, ranging from 1 (weak or no shortage) to 4 (strong shortage)
|
|
ISCO |
Occupation |
Expansion |
Replacement |
Imbalance |
Future shortage indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
11 |
Chief executives, senior officials and legislators |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
12 |
Administrative and commercial managers |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2.3 |
|
|
13 |
Production and specialised services managers |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
14 |
Hospitality, retail and other services managers |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2.3 |
|
|
21 |
Science and engineering professionals |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2.3 |
|
|
22 |
Health professionals |
3 |
4 |
1 |
2.7 |
|
|
23 |
Teaching professionals |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2.0 |
|
|
24 |
Business and administration professionals |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2.3 |
|
High-skilled nonmanual occupations |
25 |
ICT professionals |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
|
|
26 |
Legal, social and cultural professionals |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
31 |
Science and engineering associate professionals |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2.0 |
|
|
32 |
Health associate professionals |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2.3 |
|
|
33 |
Business and administration associate professionals |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
34 |
Legal, social, cultural and related associate professionals |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3.0 |
|
|
35 |
Information and communications technicians |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2.0 |
|
|
41 |
General and keyboard clerks |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2.3 |
|
|
42 |
Customer services clerks |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
43 |
Numerical and material recording clerks |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1.7 |
|
Skilled nonmanual occupations |
44 |
Other clerical support workers |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1.3 |
|
|
51 |
Personal services workers |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2.7 |
|
|
52 |
Sales workers |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
|
53 |
Personal care workers |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.7 |
|
|
54 |
Protective services workers |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2.0 |
|
|
61 |
Market-oriented skilled agricultural workers |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2.0 |
|
|
62 |
Market-oriented skilled forestry, fishery and hunting workers |
1 |
2 |
3 |
2.0 |
|
|
63 |
Subsistence farmers, fishers, hunters and gatherers |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2.0 |
|
|
71 |
Building and related trades workers (excluding electricians) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
Skilled manual occupations |
72 |
Metal, machinery and related trades workers |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
|
73 |
Handicraft and printing workers |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
|
74 |
Electrical and electronic trades workers |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2.0 |
|
|
75 |
Food processing, woodworking, garment and other craft and related trades workers |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
|
81 |
Stationary plant and machine operators |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
|
82 |
Assemblers |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2.7 |
|
|
83 |
Drivers and mobile plant operators |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2.7 |
Source: DG EMPL calculations, based on Cedefop Skills Forecast 2023.