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The Common Agricultural Policy SIMulation (CAPSIM) model
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The Common Agricultural Policy SIMulation (CAPSIM) model

Dairy reform and western balkan countries accession scenarios

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This study describes a multicommodity analysis focusing on two EU relevant agricultural policy aspects: reform of EU dairy market following the so-called Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) 'Health Check' (HC) and the potential accession of Western Balkan countries to the European Union. The analysis is carried out using the Common Agricultural Policy SIMulation (CAPSIM) model developed by EuroCARE and the University of Bonn on behalf of DG ESTAT. Key results of the main quota expiry scenario for 2020 are that milk production would increase by 3.1% in the EU-27 whereas milk prices would drop by 7.3%. Accession effects in the Western Balkan countries would originate in some convergence to EU prices, in technology transfer which would increase yields, and in CAP components introduced on the Western Balkan like milk quotas or decoupled payments.
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ISSN 1018-5593
ISBN 978-92-79-12985-8
DOI 10.2791/12495
Katalognummer LF-NA-23951-EN-C
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ISSN 1018-5593 ISBN 978-92-79-12985-8 DOI 10.2791/12495 Katalognummer LF-NA-23951-EN-C
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