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Measuring the impact of COVID-19 confinement measures on human mobility using mobile positioning data
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Measuring the impact of COVID-19 confinement measures on human mobility using mobile positioning data

A European regional analysis

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This work presents a mobility indicator derived from fully anonymised and aggregated mobile positioning data. Even though the indicator does not provide information about the behaviour of individuals, it captures valuable insights into the mobility patterns of the population in the EU and it is expected to inform responses against the COVID-19 pandemic. Spatio-temporal harmonisation is carried out so that the indicator can provide mobility estimates comparable across European countries. The indicators are provided at a high spatial granularity (up to NUTS3). As an application, the indicator is used to study the impact of COVID-19 confinement measure on mobility in Europe. It is found that a large proportion of the change in mobility patterns can be explained by these measures. The paper also presents a comparative analysis between mobility and the infection reproduction number Rt over time. These findings will support policymakers in formulating the best data-driven approaches for coming out of confinement, mapping the socio-economic effects of the lockdown measures and building future scenarios in case of new outbreaks. Highlights — this work analyses the correlation between the confinement measures designed to prevent the spread of COVID-19 and mobility; — for a number of European countries, the analysis finds that the measures explain a large part of the mobility patterns observed (in most cases more than 50%, up to 90%); — the reduction of mobility strongly correlated to the decrease of Rt during the outset of the epidemic, whereas the increase of mobility after the lifting of confinement measures is not reflected in an increase of Rt, which can be explained by the increased use of protective measures and physical distancing; — the study uses a mobility indicator derived from mobile phone positioning data that can be used for epidemiological and economic modelling, and in early warning applications; — the indicator harmonises the mobility data for European countries in time and space, while strictly respecting data privacy
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ISSN 1831-9424
ISBN 978-92-76-20428-2
DOI 10.2760/913067
Katalogo numeris KJ-NA-30290-EN-N
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ISSN 1831-9424 ISBN 978-92-76-20428-2 DOI 10.2760/913067 Katalogo numeris KJ-NA-30290-EN-N
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