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HomeMETIS study on costs and benefits of a pan-European hydrogen infrastructure
In assistance to the impact assessment for designing a regulatory framework for hydrogen : METIS 3, Study S3
Metadata o publikaci
The present study was prepared in assistance to the impact assessment for designing a regulatory framework for hydrogen in the context of the revision of the EU Gas Market Directive (2009/73/EC). The analysis has for objective to provide the quantitative evaluation of scenarios and related sensitivities which shall reflect a set of policy options under discussion for the hydrogen framework. The scenarios and sensitivities were jointly elaborated in a pre-phase of the present assessment with Guidehouse and Frontier Economics. A detailed description of the link between the scenarios and policy options is available in the respective report, which is to be understood as a preface for the present analysis. The present analysis provides results via a set of quantitative indicators which complements the more qualitative analysis realised by (Guidehouse & Frontier Economics, forthcoming). The considered policy options differ in the way they are expected to enable or stimulate cross-border transport of hydrogen (either via new pipelines or repurposed) and trigger the exploitation of least-cost potentials for renewable hydrogen production with the ultimate goal to diminish the overall costs of renewable hydrogen supply (including upstream costs). Three different scenarios of cross-border capacity deployment by 2030 are considered to assess the impacts of these packages, considering the green H2 production capacities as outlined in the EU's Hydrogen Strategy. They range from a BAU scenario without any cross-border interconnection, via a scenario relying on the EU hydrogen backbone as indicated by the 2021 Guidehouse report1, towards a more extended version that allows for the installation of initial cross-border capacities to tap the full potential of regional cooperation benefits when supplying the EU with renewable hydrogen. In order to capture the hydrogen dynamics, a multi-energy modelling environment has been designed in the METIS model, reflecting the investments into and operation of electricity, gas and hydrogen assets with an hourly time resolution over entire year 2030. The pan-European modelling approach (representing all EU MSs plus major neighbouring countries as single nodes) is key to reveal the needs for hydrogen infrastructure. See the dedicated report prepared by (Guidehouse & Frontier Economics, forthcoming) and (Artelys, forthcoming) for further information on scenario design and major modelling assumptions. The study key finding is that it is economically pertinent to set up a pan-European hydrogen transport infrastructure by 2030, under the considered assumptions. By 2030, cross-border integration facilitates regional cooperation and contributes to a substantial reduction in hydrogen production cost by reallocating renewable electricity and hydrogen production to the most favourable sites. The cost-effective exploitation of the EU-wide RES potentials and a concerted European strategy for electrolyser roll-out allow to increase the load factors of electrolysers, thereby avoiding over-dimensioning, paired with least-cost renewable electricity. A pan-European hydrogen grid further triggers a convergence of hydrogen prices across EU Member States and reduces the need for hydrogen storage, which is in any case a scarce resource restricted to selected Member States. Eventually, reallocation combined with the carbon price signal drives down the hydrogen carbon-content.
- Zveřejněno:
- Témata: Energie
- Téma: analýza nákladů a výnosů , cena energie , dopravní infrastruktura , energetické právo , energetický výzkum , obnovitelná energie , přeprava energie , trh s energií , uhlíková neutralita , vodík , výroba energie
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| ISSN | ISBN 978-92-76-46201-9 | DOI 10.2833/736971 | Katalogové číslo MJ-03-21-491-EN-N |
- Released on EU publications website:
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