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Dual-use trade figures and how they combine
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Dual-use trade figures and how they combine

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Dual-use items are goods and technologies with civil and military uses. In several countries, including the EU Member States, the export of dual-use goods is controlled by national licensing processes as a measure of non-proliferation. Dual-use items relate to a variety of generally high-tech goods falling in diverse categories: nuclear materials, facilities and equipment; special materials and related equipment; materials processing; electronics; computers; telecommunications and information security; sensors and lasers; navigation and avionics; marine; aerospace and propulsion. In connection to the ongoing review of the EU export control policy, currently based on Regulation 428/2009 and amendments, it is of relevance to know the size of the EU dual-use sector and have a method to assess, in a quantitative way, the impact of export controls on trade. Because the dual-use trade draws from a range of industrial sectors, no single trade statistics exists today to portrait this cross-cutting sector ‘as a whole’. In this report we estimate the total intra- and extra-EU Dual-Use Export Value (DUEV). DUEV is meant to be an indicator of the relevance of the dual-use sector to the EU economy. To estimate DUEV, lower and upper bound values are first derived based on license data provided by EU Member States and on COMEXT export data available from Eurostat. The bounds are then combined in a single estimate to DUEV. As a result, DUEV is estimated to be at most 3.3% of the total intra- and extra-EU export in 2013, equivalent to about 150 Billion of Euros. The report explains the method used to derive these figures by qualitative reasoning on quantitative data.
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ISSN 1831-9424
ISBN 978-92-79-52715-9
DOI 10.2789/439924
Kataloška številka LC-NA-27514-EN-N
ISSN 1018-5593
ISBN 978-92-79-52714-2
DOI 10.2789/271704
Kataloška številka LC-NA-27514-EN-C
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ISSN 1831-9424 ISBN 978-92-79-52715-9 DOI 10.2789/439924 Kataloška številka LC-NA-27514-EN-N
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ISSN 1018-5593 ISBN 978-92-79-52714-2 DOI 10.2789/271704 Kataloška številka LC-NA-27514-EN-C
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