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Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis
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Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis
Publication metadata
We use bank-level information on lending practices from the euro area Bank Lending Survey to construct a new indicator of loans’ supply tightening controlling for both macroeconomic and bank-specific factors. Embedding this information as external instrument in a Bayesian vector autoregressive model (BVAR), we find that tighter bank loan supply to non-financial corporations leads to a protracted
contraction in credit volumes and higher bank lending spreads. This fosters firms’ incentives to substitute bank loans with market finance, producing a significant increase in debt securities issuance and higher bond spreads. We also show that loans’ tightening shocks explain a large fraction of the contraction in real activity and the widening of credit spreads especially over the recession which followed the euro area sovereign debt crisis.
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Published:
2015-11-05
Corporate author(s):
European Central Bank
Personal author(s):
Nicoletti, Giulio
;
Altavilla, Carlo
;
Darracq Paries, Matthieu
Themes:
Monetary policy
,
Banks, insurance
Subject:
econometrics
,
economic recession
,
euro area
,
financial market
,
loan
,
macroeconomics
,
monetary crisis
,
money market
PDF
ISSN
1725-2806
ISBN
978-92-899-1674-5
DOI
10.2866/83401
Catalogue number
QB-AR-15-101-EN-N
PDF
ISSN
1725-2806
ISBN
978-92-899-1674-5
DOI
10.2866/83401
Catalogue number
QB-AR-15-101-EN-N
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