For a better user experience please update your browser or use Chrome or Firefox browser.
Utilities
Publication detail
Home
Global climate policy scenarios for 2030 and beyond analysis of greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 models
Publication metadata
The European Union is committed to limiting the global temperature increase to 2 degrees Celsius by the year 2100. In 2007, the European Commission published a Communication on 'Limiting Global Climate Change to 2 degrees Celsius: the way ahead for 2020 and beyond', which explores ways for meeting this target. The Communication drew on scenarios developed by the Joint Research Centre IPTS. These scenarios and the underlying model toolbox are presented in this report. The report shows that a baseline development would lead to a continuous rise in global greenhouse gas emissions. If dedicated climate change policies and energy efficiency standards were introduced, global greenhouse gas emissions from energy use and industrial processes could be reduced to reach a level of 25% below that of 1990 by 2050. The 'GHG reduction scenario' takes a novel – yet realistic – approach by simulating an imperfect carbon market across sectors and regions. Reaching the 2 degree target pathway is feasible under these assumptions. One key element for achieving it would be energy savings and changes in the power sector. Furthermore, the use of 'flexible mechanisms' is found to be central for limiting the cost of an ambitious climate change policy.
- Published:
- Corporate author(s): Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (Joint Research Centre)
- Personal author(s): Van Regemorter, Denise ; Wiesenthal, Tobias ; Russ, Peter
- Themes: Environmental research
- Subject: climate change , energy saving , energy use , environmental impact , environmental policy , environmental research , greenhouse gas , reduction of gas emissions , scientific research
|
PDF
|
|||
| ISSN 1018-5593 | ISBN 978-92-79-07553-7 | DOI 10.2791/576 | Catalogue number LF-NA-23032-EN-C |
- Released on EU publications website:
Document viewer
Note:
The publication cannot be displayed in the document viewer. Open web version
You may access it from: Download and languages