What if ...?
14 futures for 2024
Publication metadata
The 14 scenarios in this Chaillot Paper all follow the same structure, taking us not only on a journey to the future but also backwards to the present: they start out with the signpost set in 2024, describe the desirable future in the years beyond that date, and lay out the pathway that connects this situation to today. According to a famous science fiction film, the future is what you make of it. This Chaillot Paper takes this quote from Back to the Future to heart, proposing 14 different portraits of the future for the year 2024. These are not 'Grey Swans' we want to avoid — on the contrary,... they are 'White Reindeers', positive developments we can make come true. The scenarios do not just depict a desirable future, but include pathways and concrete recommendations on how to get there. The scenarios I outlined here therefore amount to more than strategic foresight since they are highly operational; in addition, they describe futures that are just beginning in 2024, but which will have wide-ranging positive repercussions in the decades beyond that date.
- Published:
- Corporate author(s): European Union Institute for Security Studies (EU body or agency)
- Personal author(s): Gaub, Florence Themes: International policy, Asia, External relations, Africa, Caribbean and Pacific
- Subject: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, China, economic reform, Euro-Arab cooperation, European defence policy, foreign policy, international security, Middle East, North Africa, Pakistan, policy analysis, policymaking, political reform, Russia, social change, solar energy, terrorism, the EU's international role, vision of Europe
| ISSN | ISBN | DOI | Catalogue number | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PDF
|
1683-4917 | 978-92-9198-858-7 | 10.2815/210287 | QN-AA-19-007-EN-N |
|
Paper
|
1017-7566 | 978-92-9198-857-0 | 10.2815/30236 | QN-AA-19-007-EN-C |
