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HomePotential effects of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) on African agri-food sectors and food security
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The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement, which entered into force at the beginning of 2021, aims to boost intra-African trade and to accelerate economic development on the continent. This report complements previous continental economy-wide assessments of the impacts of the AfCFTA by providing a more comprehensive description of the trade agreement’s effects on food systems and food security. The report employs a global, multiregional model to determine the trade creation and diversion effects of four liberalisation scenarios defined by various policy objectives. The main findings show that the trade agreement will be a positive contributor both to economic growth through higher value added production and to trade diversification. Food consumption across the continent will also increase. A coordinated liberalisation approach to promote trade in agri-food products will further boost food security outcomes. Nevertheless, food prices will increase slightly in most regions, showing the need for further consideration of food affordability aspects in lower-income groups. Results also highlight the importance of non-tariff measures and the capacity of the AfCFTA to reduce the non-tariff costs of intra-African trade.
- Published:
- Corporate author(s): Joint Research Centre (European Commission)
- Themes: Africa, Caribbean and Pacific
- Subject: Africa , agro-industry , economic growth , food security , free movement of goods , free-trade agreement , liberalisation of trade , non-tariff barrier , report
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| ISSN 1831-9424 | ISBN 978-92-76-41024-9 | DOI 10.2760/531308 | Catalogue number KJ-NA-30804-EN-N |
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| ISSN 1018-5593 | ISBN 978-92-76-41023-2 | DOI 10.2760/740480 | Catalogue number KJ-NA-30804-EN-C |
- Released on EU publications website:
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